Do you still trust in polling?

[noname223]

Honestly, I just roll my eyes when I see people explaining poll numbers very seriously. It is not like I have high trust in prediction markets. I think though we are in an era where polling isn't that reliable anymore. One reason might be the massive polarization, mistrust in institutions and a lot of distortions when asking questions because of these dynamics. I am tired of polling. In my country there are various polling institutes and most people who have a clue of politics know that these institutions often favor particular parties. One could say they have certain biases. but one could also argue they do it on purpose. People will cite the numbers if they favor a certain narrative. Or when people use it to fearmonger. In elections that are far away polling isn't that reliable in predicting the outcome anyway.

 

[Ikkuna]

depends on so many factors. If the polls show a very clear winner it's usually right