Poll: Who will win the US presidential election 2024?

[noname223]

In 3 months and 1 day the election is happening. I think it is a good time point to make this poll.

I will go with Kamala. My main reason for that is that Alan Lichtman goes with her. This professor who predicted almost all US presidential elections right. It is not his final prediction. But he said it had to happen a lot so that Harris loses.

I don't trust pundits too much their analyses have such a shortterm focus. After Trump survived the assassination attempt everyone said it will be him. Now after Biden is replaced most people only talk about Harris. Lichtman said Biden would have been even a better candidate. I am not sure whether he said that because it follows his model or whether he genuinely believes it. I would find it funny if the Trump assassination attempt would actually have led to Trump losiing. I had the feeling the pressure on Biden get that strong because Trump looked so strong and invincible. While Biden confused Zelensky with Putin and Harris with Trump. We don't know whether he would have been replaced if there did not happen that attempt on Trump's life.

Personally, I go with a chance of 70-75% that Harris wins.
Trump 30-25%.
Third candidate close to zero.

 

[zengiraffe]

I hope it will be Harris but as for who will actually win I have no idea. I honestly think it's a toss up.

 

[-nobodyknows-]

If Harris wins, people will lose their shit.

If Trump wins, people will lose their shit.

I am not looking forward to November.

 

[damienlerone03]

If Harris wins, people will lose their shit.

If Trump wins, people will lose their shit.

I am not looking forward to November.

raid on the capital part 2

 

[Blurry_Buildings]

My political opinions aside I think undoubtedly Trump will win. The DNC needs a miracle fast to turn this around.

I also said I didn't think biden would drop out though...

 

[pollux]

Probably Trump imo, not following it closely (not american).

 

[sserafim]

Trump

 

[Placo]

 

[endofline2010]

Harris. I think she's a two-faced hypocrite. But she's young and attractive, relative to DT. Also, she supports reproductive rights at the federal level, so will easily pull the female vote except for bible and koran thumpers. She'll pull the black vote too.