Would you be willing to play this game?

[Jessica5]

There's a jar with 4 blue balls and 4 red blues. You pick out 4 balls. If you pick out either 4 blue balls or 4 red balls, you lose. Otherwise, you win.

If you win, you die. If you lose, you become a quadripelgic.



Mathematically, you have a 34 in 35 chance of winning the game-much higher than you would probably expect.


The second ball would have a 3 in 7 chance of being the same color as the first ball. If you lose on the second ball, the third ball has a 2 in 6 chance of being the same color as balls 1 and 2. If you lose on both the second and third ball, the fourth ball only has a 1 in 5 chance of being the same color as the the first 3 balls. 3/7 x 1/3 x 1/5= 1/35

Anyway, are you willing to risk a 34 in 35 chance of dying for a 1 in 35 chance of becoming a quadripelgic?

 

[Darkhaven]

There's a jar with 4 blue balls and 4 red blues. You pick out 4 balls. If you pick out either 4 blue balls or 4 red balls, you lose. Otherwise, you win.

If you win, you die. If you lose, you become a quadripelgic.



Mathematically, you have a 34 in 35 chance of winning the game-much higher than you would probably expect.


The second ball would have a 3 in 7 chance of being the same color as the first ball. If you lose on the second ball, the third ball has a 2 in 6 chance of being the same color as balls 1 and 2. If you lose on both the second and third ball, the fourth ball only has a 1 in 5 chance of being the same color as the the first 3 balls. 3/7 x 1/3 x 1/5= 1/35

Anyway, are you willing to risk a 34 in 35 chance of dying for a 1 in 35 chance of becoming a quadripelgic?

Hell, if i was desperate enough, i would definately play it.

 

[Jessica5]

Just to clarify, you can not quit this game after losing on either ball 2 or ball 3. You can quit after ball 1 since that ball is irrelevant to your chances of winning, but that's it.

 

[262653]

Why not play two games instead and pick a ball from each jar with each hand? You only have to win once!

But I'm not much into math... I'm on better terms with intuition.
That's... 1/35 x 1/35 = 1/1225 chance to fail?

 

[kerolox]

No because I think there are other ways of killing yourself with a less than 1/35 chance of becoming a quadriplegic.

 

[Letmego. Please]

Already played that game 26yrs ago abet without ending quite so knackered, but knackered enough.

To me that is a 'game' only played when your mind gone to the point that failure isn't even thought of, just the need to get it done.
If you stand at the edge thinking what will happen if this doesn't work then you are happily not yet that far gone. All i thought of was 'bugger i need to wait a min so that old bloke doesn't have to see me jumping'

So yeah in the right/wrong frame of mind i would play again.

 

[NemoZeno]

I don't care how reality works: if there's a 0< chance of me losing this game then I'm not playing.

I'd play if losing = paraplegic and only the lower half. I need the arms for either hanging, tourniquet, etc methods that I'll need to get on quick since my life is much worse having disabled legs.