DarkRange55
Enlightened
- Oct 15, 2023
- 1,306
I discuss this topic with my career physicist & mathematician friends and friends working in AI & machine learning research. Any thoughts on this topic?
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I agree with this. Unimaginable hype was mostly from those with an obvious incentive to raise money, to put themselves on a shortlist for a Nobel, and all that. Most of the ground-floor researchers and experimentalists have been extraordinarily realistic, though sometimes passive or quiet since there's an incentive to not bite the hand that feeds them.
It also doesn't help that the giant PR machines of IBM, Google, IonQ, et al. have been commanding the narrative. At this point you'd think transmons, ions, and atoms are the only commercially/at-scale interesting options. :)
Probably my favorite short story and my favorite science fiction authorMy pet theory is that Isaac Asimov prophesized our future when he wrote that "the last question was asked for the first time, half in jest, on May 21, 2061, at a time when humanity first stepped into the light" (The Last Question). Come May 21, 2061, perhaps the US or China will successfully create the first superintelligent AI, spiraling humanity into the technological singularity. Beyond the singularity, it is impossible to say what life as a human would be. Perhaps we will end up in a similar situation to the conclusion of The Last Question. In the story, the last question appears to be "can entropy be reversed." I think Asimov asks the penultimate question. Perhaps the true last question, when humanity possess the power to recreate its own universe, we will ask the question not if entropy can be reversed, but if we should even be the ones to do it.