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DarkRange55

DarkRange55

We are now gods but for the wisdom
Oct 15, 2023
2,127

(A piece by friend and esteemed Nobel prize winning economist)

Pay attention to the last paragraph.




Gold and our political economy
Hmm
 
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noname223

Archangel
Aug 18, 2020
6,288

(A piece by friend and esteemed Nobel prize winning economist)

Pay attention to the last paragraph.




Gold and our political economy
Hmm
I wonder whether what happened under Theresa May in UK could repeat itself in the US in Trump's second term. I don't say its likely. But it doesn't seem fully impossible anymore...
 
DarkRange55

DarkRange55

We are now gods but for the wisdom
Oct 15, 2023
2,127
Deutsche Bank's latest analysis (see attached file), notes that gold now represents roughly 30% of global FX and gold reserves, signaling a structural shift in central-bank diversification away from the U.S. dollar.

If this trend continues, gold could effectively serve as a quasi-reserve currency—a neutral anchor in a world of declining confidence in fiat money. While it can't function as a full reserve currency (it doesn't circulate, pay interest, or finance trade), gold's attributes make it a powerful parallel asset:
Universally accepted: free from counterparty and sanctions risk
Highly liquid: easily sold or swapped globally
Politically neutral: not issued by any state, so it can't be frozen or devalued

In essence, gold could be re-emerging as a stabilizing store of value and partial alternative to the dollar's dominance in global reserves.



However, the Krugman post (above) on Gold and the JMKeynes reflections regarding gold and reserve currency and markets. Those main stream economic comments still hold for many other orthodox economists.
FX rates reflect the underlying health / growth of various economies. $ down when it is not managing things too well. Like these days -- so flight to gold.
 

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DarkRange55

DarkRange55

We are now gods but for the wisdom
Oct 15, 2023
2,127
I am not panicking because gold goes down this much today. The ralley became really irrational during the last weeks. Analysts predicted gold to be at 4000 USD at the end of 2025. And in October they crossed fucking 4300. It had to go down. And I could imagine it will drop further in the next days. It doesn't change the fact that there are structural reasons why the gold price will increase in the next years. Smart analysts will be very careful when gold will hit its lowest point in order to invest. I could imagine it will drop a lot in the next days. I don't See how geopolitical tensions really ease with Trump and Putin in Office though. I analyzed with friends my investment. And tbh I felt worse when gold Was skyrocketing. I thought I should have invested more all the time. Now, with this correction I witness every investment has a risk. My investment has many reasons. I could live with losing 30% of its value. But I will hold probably no matter what. Paradoxically, I am more relieved when I See that it goes down this much.
Some analysis by your "favorite" conservative Russian rag 😉 📰







 
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noname223

Archangel
Aug 18, 2020
6,288
Some analysis by your "favorite" conservative Russian rag 😉 📰







I cannot bypass their paywall anymore. They powered the paywall up recently. We will see how it develops. I am more curious where it will be in 5-10 years.
 

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